MY LADDER

My Challenge

One step at a time. Every win counts.

0 of 11 done

Stay calm. Stay patient. Keep climbing.

WATCH FIRST · 2 MINUTES

What the numbers of this ladder really say

On paper, the ladder is right

$20×4$80×4$320×4$1,280

risk 1, win 3, end with 4

…up to$20,971,520

Levels 1 to 3: all of it, 3 wins in a row

at a 40% win rate:

1 win40%
2 in a row16%
3 in a row6.4%

one loss, at any step: the round is gone

Chance a $20 round reaches $1,280

30% wins2.7%
40% wins6.4%
50% wins12.5%

rounds lost first, on average: about 36 ($720), 15 ($300), 7 ($140)

From level 4: one win is +6%, not ×4

2% risk24
1% risk47

more wins than losses needed for EACH level

levels 4 to 11: about 190 to 375 net wins, at 2 trades a day: years

$20 is too small to size safely

Gold 0.01 lot=$1 per $1 move
2% of $20=$0.40

a stop 40 cents away is crossed in seconds. That is why the ladder says "all of it": the size is forced, not chosen.

What is good: winning 3 for 1

40 wins × 3−60 losses × 1=+60

in 100 trades at a 40% win rate: +0.6 of the risk per trade, on average. The plan works. The size breaks it.

The safe way to climb

  • keep the 3 for 1 target
  • keep two trades a day
  • practise the ladder on demo first
  • 1 to 2% from the very first trade
  • start live with a few hundred, or a cent account
  • all of it, on any level

THE REAL NUMBERS

Levels 1 to 3 trade all of it

"Trade with: all of it" means one losing trade takes the whole round. To climb from $20 to $1,280 you need 3 wins in a row, with no loss in between. A trade that aims for 3 times its risk usually wins less than half the time.

Pick a win rate to see the chances:

6%chance a $20 round reaches $1,280
94%chance the round is lost on the way

On average that is about 16 rounds of $20 (about $320) lost before one round gets through.

Two trades a day at most is a good rule. But the rule that saves accounts is the size: no single trade should be able to end the round.

RISK MANAGEMENT

Size every trade from the stop

Decide where the trade is wrong (the stop) and how much of the balance you accept to lose. The lot comes from those two numbers.

Money at risk: $6.40
Lot: 0.01

Gold: 1 lot is 100 ounces, so a $1 move is $100 on 1 lot and $1 on 0.01. EURUSD: about $10 a pip on 1 lot.

The same ladder, the safe way. With 2% risk and a win of 3 times the risk, each win adds 6%. Going from $20 to $80 then takes about 24 more wins than losses, not one. Slower, but one bad day cannot end it.

All of it2% a trade
One lossround over−2%
Five losses in a rowround overabout −10%
Can keep learningfrom $20 againyes
MSNR MENTORSHIP

Learn the method before you climb

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Trading involves risk. Nothing here is a promise of profit.